The rapid escalation of food prices in the past few years, peaking in June/July of 2008, exacerbated hunger in the United States and around the world and prompted serious reflection on the causes. One contributor and source of controversy is the use of food – especially corn -- as feedstock for biofuel production. While some decry the dichotomy of “food versus fuel” and the impact of biofuel production on local economies and the environment, others argue that biofuels provide valuable opportunities to reduce dependence on fossil fuels and generate income for farmers without significantly raising food prices. A new Bread for the World Institute internal discussion paper explores these issues and finds that the reality is not so easily distilled to a slogan or a sound bite.
Consensus has emerged that global biofuel production accounted for 40 percent of the corn price increase in 2008. The translated into perhaps 10-15 percent of the total recorded increase in food prices in 2008, which was roughly 5 percent. Since, in the U.S., average spending on food is less than 6 percent of total household expenditure, that increase is relatively insignificant. This is not the case in poor countries where food expenditures constitute a much greater share of household income – as much as 80 percent in some cases.
The increased demand for corn as a feedstock for ethanol could continue to raise food prices if demand for corn, whether for animal feed or ethanol, increases at a faster pace than production. Higher petroleum prices, which increase farmers’ production costs, could also affect consumer food prices regardless of the pace of ethanol production, as would further displacement of soy cropland for corn.
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